Geopolitics

Geopolitics

— International relations, foreign policy, and global power dynamics
2 members Created Sep 2026
AS

Asia-Pacific

254 threads 0 followers
Cambodia and Laos are not pawns in a Chinese encirclement

The Ban Keun runway in Laos measures about 2,000 meters, long enough for most Chinese fighters but well short of the roughly 3,000 meters an H-6 bomber needs, and Reuters counted only eight K-8 light attack jets there. Cambodia's Ream base, meanwhile, has hosted Japanese, Vietnamese and US ships, which undercuts the story of a Chinese ring around Vietnam.

— via Asia Times, Sereysovathana Mogn

The secret terms of Trump’s Venezuelan oil deal

The 18-page agreement lets the US buy 20% of the venture's oil at $30 a barrel, but the price leaves out the cost of the blending materials Venezuela's thick crude needs to flow. The text also gives a Venezuelan oligarch, Alejandro Betancourt, who has faced money-laundering investigations in three countries, control of the company's leadership, while Trump's "next century" claim rests on purchasing rights that expire in half that time.

— via Asia Times, Sebastian Rotella, Cate Brown, and Aaron C. Davis

JD Vance-founded, Korea-tied firm now influencing Brazil election

A Washington donor network co-founded by JD Vance drew up a confidential proposal for Flávio Bolsonaro: a Technology Council of 23 business leaders, 19 of them foreign, to advise his campaign. Documents obtained by Intercept Brasil came out days before a first round he won by just over 2.2 million votes, with the runoff polling as a virtual tie.

— via Asia Times, Filipe Mendonca

A Canadian west coast oil pipeline and coalitional oil security in a Taiwan contingency

Japan, Taiwan and South Korea could get Canadian oil to the Pacific without crossing a vulnerable choke point if they back the Pacific Link pipeline, and retrofitting refinery cokers to take oil sands crude would take about four to five years. South Korean refineries can already take Canadian crude with little or no retrofitting, though the economics remain a hurdle.

— via Atlantic Council, Joseph Webster

China-Russia backing lets Pyongyang tune out Seoul’s old song

Seoul's passive response to a DMZ landmine blast and the return of North Korean POWs from Ukraine has irritated moderates as well as conservatives, but the author argues restraint has virtually no chance of improving inter-Korean ties. Pyongyang now has Chinese and Russian backing and has shut its doors, so the conditions that made the Sunshine Policy work are gone.

— via Asia Times, Andrei Lankov

Why Starshield’s slowdown really hurts Ukraine

Starshield terminals on platforms moving faster than about 100 mph (161 km/h) were reportedly restricted, according to Ukrainian officials and reporting citing US and Western sources. It doesn't black out Ukraine's military, but it cuts the connectivity that fast drones and interceptors depend on, and personnel described cancelled missions and dropped connections.

— via Asia Times, Steve Uhlig

China next-gen solar tech curb to impact SpaceX AI computing plan

China wants to ban exports of the production technology behind perovskite and tandem solar cells, the same cells seen as a leading option for satellites, just as Elon Musk plans to build 100 gigawatts of US solar capacity a year. The cells themselves could still be exported; comments on the 40-technology proposal are open until November 15.

— via Asia Times, Jeff Pao