Scientists can make skillful seasonal forecasts of summer temperature in western China

Scientists can make skillful seasonal forecasts of summer temperature in western China

5 years ago
Anonymous $roN-uuAfLt

https://phys.org/news/2018-06-scientists-skillful-seasonal-summer-temperature.html

"There are two important sources of skill for these predictions in western China: interannual variation of SST in the western Pacific and the SST trend in the tropical Pacific," says Dr. Chaofan Li, the study's lead author. "We found that the tropical SST change in the last two decades, with warming in the western Pacific and cooling in the eastern Pacific, connects with the warming trend in northwestern China, and the interannual variation of SST in the western Pacific gives rise to a reliable prediction of SAT over the Tibetan Plateau."

The predictability and reliability demonstrated in this work is potentially useful for climate services providing early warning of extreme climate events, and could ultimately lead to useful economic benefits.

                                                            
                                    
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